These Events Could Have Changed WWII and All of Modern History

By: Alyssa Miller | Published: Feb 28, 2024

Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” showed us the race against the clock as the United States built the atomic bomb to help bring an end to World War II. Who exactly was the U.S. racing against? The answer: Nazi Germany.

Professor Gareth Williams explains how the Nazis could have bested the U.S. in the nuclear arms race with their project, the German nuclear weapons program.

Early Visions of Nuclear Power

Reports of nuclear fission being possible came out in early 1939, and theorists and physicists immediately thought that there was potential to source the energy for heat and electricity generation.

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A drawing explaining nuclear fusion

Source: IAEA

However, the idea of whether or not nuclear fission would be possible to commercially viable technology was not clear as it was difficult to control a fusion reaction.

The Race to Build the Atomic Bomb

Once the research on nuclear fission was unveiled to the world, the Russians, the Japanese, the French, Germans, and Americans raced to find a way to harness nuclear fission.

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Cooling towers near river under cloudy sky at sundown

Source: Kelly/Pexels

In France, the focus was on developing a nuclear reactor that could generate electricity efficiently. However, a patent on an explosive uranium device was taken out in May 1939. This patent alluded to the creation of a bomb.

Germany's Unfulfilled Nuclear Ambitions

In Germany, the Uranium Club, which was the German nuclear program during WWII, undertook several research programs relating to nuclear technology, including nuclear weapons and nuclear reactors before and during WWII.

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A grayscale image of a the Nazi party standing on top of a hill

Source: U.S. Holocaust Museum

People like Werner Heisenberg, remembered as one of the founding fathers of quantum mechanics, were part of the group.

Exploring Fission Despite Exodus of Scientists

While most of the bright minds who specialized in quantum mechanics fled Germany after the war broke out, some people like Heisenberg and Carl von Weizsäcker stayed to investigate the military application of fission.

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A grayscale headshot of a man in a suit

Source: Wikimedia Commons

By the end of 1939, the team calculated that nuclear fission chain reactions might be possible. Slowing down and controlling molecules in a “uranium machine” (nuclear reactor) can generate energy through chain reactions, potentially resulting in a “nuclear explosive” if left uncontrolled.

Limited Progress and Missed Opportunities

In 1941, von Weizsäcker went so far as to submit a patent application for using a uranium machine to manufacture this new radioactive element. Although the war hampered their work, the team was able to achieve significant levels of enrichment in small samples of uranium.

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Uranium in a solid form and in a glass container on a white background

Source: Live Science

However, this level of enrichment is not enough to make an atomic bomb. On top of this, the fall of the Third Reich in 1945 left the country in shambles.

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Heisenberg’s Limitations Lead to the Program Failures

There were a lot of other factors that hindered the atomic program in Germany during WWII. In 1942, a series of presentations to high-ranking Nazi military commanders showcased the shortcomings of a single brilliant mind.

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An abandoned nuclear reactor experiment made by Werner Heisenberg

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Heisenberg’s presentation included detailed diagrams of the reactor, but he did not know what the atomic bomb needed to look like.

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Two Questions Ended the Program

Heisenberg’s limitations killed the project after two questions were asked: How big will this bomb be? Heisenberg said that the bomb would be the size of a pineapple.

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A pineapple on a blue background

Source: Alizee Marchand/Pexels

While theories suggested that the bomb could be the size of a walnut, it seems that Heisenberg plucked the numbers out of thin air and the military men assumed this much.

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Heisenberg Didn't Know How Much the Bomb Would Cost

The second question was how much money was estimated for the project. According to History Extra, Heisenberg responded, “Oh, I need a couple of 100,000 Reichsmarks.” Compared to the billions of Reichsmarks spent each day, the amount was extremely low.

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A Reichsmarks banknote on a white background

Source: United States Holocaust Memorial Museum

When it became apparent that the two people in charge of the bomb had not discussed the budget, the military men and Hitler decided to ax the German atomic bomb program.

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Other Factors That Lead to the Program’s Death

Another part of the German atomic bomb program’s failures was the lack of resources provided to the program. The Nazi regime focused its resources on more immediate military needs like conventional weapons and rockets, underestimating the potential of nuclear weapons.

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Air General Friedrich Christiansen (third from the left) arrives in The Hague at the Lange Poten street near the Plein square accompanied by a number of high ranking German officers. On the background spectators and photographers. Adolf Hitler appointed General Christiansen as Supreme Commander of the Nazi-German Armed Forces in the Netherlands. He remained at this post for the entire duration of the Second World War

Source: Picryl

Additionally, anti-Semitic policies led to the exclusion of talented Jewish scientists, hindering the research effort.

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Why Did the U.S. Atomic Program Work

While the U.S. poured resources into the Manhattan Project, a singular, well-funded, and tightly organized effort, the German program sputtered along. Funding was scarce and scattered across various research groups, hindering any chance of focused progress.

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Raemer Schreiber pointing at a chart on a blackboard for the Manhattan Project

Source: Los Alamos National laboratory/Picryl

This disorganization made the German program even more vulnerable to Allied intelligence efforts like the “Alsos Mission,” which actively monitored and disrupted their research through sabotage and disinformation campaigns.

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Could History Have Been Different? 

A combination of resource limitations, prioritization issues, technical hurdles, internal skepticism, and Allied intervention prevented Germany from developing a nuclear bomb before the United States.

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Grayscale Photo of Explosion on the Beach

Source: Pixabay/Pexels

While German researchers and scientists helped push the development of nuclear energy and weapons, they fell short of achieving a critical mass reaction that could have changed the course of history.

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